Friday, December 29, 2017

How to be an options trader oil


NYMEX Crude Oil call option with the same expiration month and a nearby strike price of USD 40. To take profit, you enter an offsetting short futures position in one contract of the underlying crude oil futures at the market price of USD 46. NYMEX Light Sweet Crude Oil futures contract is trading at the price of USD 40. This means that you get to buy the underlying crude oil at only USD 40. By exercising your call option now, you get to assume a long position in the underlying crude oil futures at the strike price of USD 40. The trader must have enough liquidity to support short term price fluctuations. Below the table summarizes the American option positions that once exercised results in the respective underlying futures position shown in the second column. In this case, the delivery and acceptance are not an issue for the contract sides. European options are optimal for traders who wish settlement in cash. Thus, despite their names, crude oil options are, in fact, options on futures. Traders who do not wish to bother with physical delivery that might require a lot of paper work and complex procedures may prefer oil options to oil futures. External references used in researching this piece: Oilprice.


Helen wishes to exercise the options. Long option contracts help to avoid this. The crude oil futures traded on NYMEX, however, are physically settled. The trader who has short position on one futures contract must deliver 1000 barrels of crude oil at expiration and the long position must accept the delivery. Recall that a short option position collects the premium and assumes the risk. Helen wants to exercise her call options.


Futures contracts by nature do not include any upfront payments, therefore they do not offer this type of opportunity for the traders. American options, which allow the holder to exercise the option at any time over its maturity, are exercised into underlying futures contracts. Futures traders can lose the entire position during an adverse movement of the underlying price. Additionally, long option traders do not face margin calls that require the traders to have enough liquidity to support their position. Where the initial margin requirement of futures is higher than the premium required for the option on similar futures, option positions offer extra leverage by freeing some of the capital required for the initial margin. February 2015 crude oil futures contract that has an underlying of 1000 barrels of crude oil.


However, it is worth noting that the lower price of the options will be reflected in the moneyness of the options. The European type of oil options are settled in cash. Futures contracts, however, do not give such an opportunity to contract sides, since they a have linear risk and return profile. The underlying of these options is not actually crude oil itself, but crude oil futures contracts. This in turn enables the long option position trader to better sustain price fluctuations without any additional liquidity requirement. Note that in contrary to American options, European options may only be exercised at the expiration date. Traders who seeks downside protection in crude oil trading may want to trade crude oil options that are traded mainly at NYMEX.


Both American and European types of options are available on NYMEX. American crude oil options in February 2015. WTI Calendar Spread Call Option represents an option to assume a long position in the first expiring Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures in the spread and a short position in the second expiring Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures in the spread traded on the Exchange. Daily Calendar Spread Option will be defined as the second nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract less the fourth nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract. The underlying futures spread is defined as the settlement price of the first nearby underlying Crude Oil futures contract less the settlement price of the second nearby Crude Oil futures contract. Trading terminates on the last business day immediately preceding the expiration of the first expiring futures contract in the spread. Crude Oil Option in which case it will not be listed. Daily Calendar Spread Option will be defined as the first nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract less the third nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract. Monthly contracts listed for 3 consecutive months.


However, if the first Business Day immediately preceding the Friday is the expiration of a Crude Oil monthly option, the weekly option shall not be listed for trading. WTI Calendar Spread Put Option on the Exchange represents an option to assume a short position in the first Expiring Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures in the spread and a long position in the second expiring Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures in the spread on the Exchange. In the event that the option is expiring on the last trading day of the first nearby Crude Oil Futures contract, the second nearby underlying futures will be used for settlement. Daily Calendar Spread Option will be defined as the first nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract less the second nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract. Monthly contracts listed for 13 consecutive months. Annual contracts listed for 1 year. Daily contract listed for 1 day. Monthly contracts listed for the current year and the next 5 calendar years and June and December contracts for 3 additional years.


Monthly contracts for the balance of a new calendar year will be added following the termination of trading in the December contract of the current year. Monthly contracts listed for 2 consecutive months. In the event that the option is expiring on the last trading day of the first nearby underlying Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract, the second nearby underlying futures will be used for settlement. Term Crude Oil Option expiration of July 25, 2011. Monthly contracts listed for 11 consecutive months. Daily Calendar Spread Option will be defined as the second nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract less the third nearby month Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract. Monthly contracts listed in June and Dec serials 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years out. Trading terminates at the close of the business day that it was initially listed on. Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures traded on the Exchange.


Does this mean you should not diversify your short option holdings? In August, they did. The demand cycle has now shifted toward the bears. This has historically often served as a weight on crude prices. This struck me as curiously similar to how a successful option seller should build his account. Oversupply is the proverbial gorilla in the room.


You keep mining and mining and mining for as long as the cash keeps coming. Selling the March 70. Short options are custom made to absorb a certain amount of adverse movement while waiting for the fundamentals to do their thing. Ramp it up and then Freeze? Seasonally, crude prices have tended to decline in the fall. So now they want to freeze production? News reports of outages and freeze talk are all fine and good. The same holds true in option selling. Once you hit a vein, you keep mining it till it runs dry.


But the current fundamentals should continue to serve as a drag on any price rally and eventually pull prices back down. As driving season has now ended but heating season has not yet begun, demand can find itself in a rut. Prices can rally at any time. This is why you want to sell options in the first place. Why go to another well if there is plenty of water left in this one? The Saudis have started talking production freeze a week after they announced record production of 10. When the Saudis began talk of a production freeze last month, it was enough to trigger some of these funds to cover shorts. These kind of fundamentals are what we feel will hinder bulls this fall. No matter what the latest news story, its hard to ignore.


The fundamentals of this market have not changed much during that time. March crude oil 70. The same is true in crude oil. This is cash mining. Wednesday, with a premium of around 40 cents. Vienna last month, when member countries decided not to cut production amid speculation of a price war. High levels of activity in December are not a surprise as it is among the most liquid months of the year for hedging. John Saucer, vice president of research and analytics at Mobius Risk Group in Houston. The word oil is pictured on an oil bank at a recycling yard in London March 2, 2011.


The question is: How do you get the most bang for your buck? The variable which has the most influence on the price of an option is the relationship between the price of the underlying crude oil futures or swap and the strike price of the option. This intrinsic value, when combined with the time value of the option, are what determine the total value of the option. UPDATE: This post is the first in a series on crude oil options. This post will be the first in a series on how the pricing of crude oil options. Everyone seemed to be sure that OPEC would cut back on production. The question now is when is enough? Oil options trading is active as many traders think it is time to bet on a turnaround.


Speculation led to the most profits in oil options trading as no one knew for sure what OPEC would do with production. Oil options trading is likely to be brisk until it becomes clear just where oil prices will settle. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries said it will maintain its collective output target at 30 million barrels a day. XLE bought just 10 days ago, according to market watchers. Oil options trading typically gives us a clue. Friday, according to Livevol Inc data. Traded Fund exploded on Friday as traders who had bet on a drop in the ETF scrambled to book hefty profits a day after OPEC decided not to cut oil output. Crude oil prices have fallen into the sixty dollar a barrel range taking oil stocks on a downward ride.


Bloomberg comments on oil options that turned to gold in this circumstance. When will oil futures, oil stocks and the price of crude start to rise again? As such there were many out of the money options contracts that immediately became very valuable when OPEC announced that it would not put a cap on production. An article in Barrons notes that the options market forecasts substantial volatility coming up based on the OPEC decision. They were trading near 50 cents at the end of October and worth less than 10 cents two months ago. Friday in the United States Oil Fund. What Does the Options Market Predict?


Likewise Reuters reported massive options action in the Energy Select Sector SPDR after OPEC announced that it will not cut back on oil sales. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg were split evenly before the meeting over whether OPEC would make the cut. The most profitable bet over the last months has been for the oil glut to drive prices down. And, the buyer is under no obligation to do so. This week we look at a specific niche that can be very profitable, options on oil futures. If the Ukraine crisis sets off another Cold War it could greatly upset the oil markets and drive prices significantly higher. The third factor is political, social and military unrest in the Middle East and now is Ukraine where Russian natural gas and oil flow to Europe. Last week we wrote about how you can make money trading options.


On the other hand if things go badly in Ukraine and a trader purchased options to buy crude oil futures at a low price the resulting profits could be extraordinary. The same applies to options trades. This technology will eventually be worldwide and can be expected to increase production across the board. Futures contract traders often enter and exit trades without remaining in the contract until expiration. There are a lot of commodities and stocks for which a trader can buy or sell futures contacts. Futures are standardized contracts between two parties to buy or sell a specified asset of a standardized quantity and quality for an agreed upon price set at the time of making the contract. On the other hand an options contract gives the buyer the right to buy or sell an underlying asset or instrument at a specified strike price on or before a specified date.


How Can You Make Money with Oil Futures Options? And, options buyers can always exit a contract if it appears to have been a bad idea, thus limiting their loss of money. Looking at the futures for crude oil on the Comex traders expect prices to fall over the next several years. Then we look at how to combine the two to make money with oil futures options. One is the still weak global economic recovery. As always do your own homework and check out any tips with thorough fundamental and technical analysis.


Both buyer and seller are obligated to satisfy the terms of the contract. The beauty of options is that buyers assume no risk other than the capital they invest in an options contract. First let us look at the difference between futures and options. Two is the development of sustainable fracking technology which is bringing the USA back to the top rank of oil production, greatly reducing US oil imports and likely to make the USA an oil and natural gas exporter. There are three basic factors driving the oil and gas markets today. But, the seller is obligated to fulfill the terms of the contract if the buyer decides to execute the same. However, there is a risk factor here as those selling options are asking for significant premiums in return for guaranteeing low prices six, seven and eight years from now. We are looking at how to make money with oil futures options because of the volatile nature of the oil and gas market today due to the annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation, the continued attempts by Russia to foment unrest in Eastern Ukraine and the distinct possibility that Russian natural gas and oil will cease to flow through Ukrainian pipelines to the European Union. What is good for the goose definitely has to be good for the gander as well.


You can use it for any asset in the binary options market. In the chart below, we see a double bottom forming at the commencement of the civil war, giving crude a bullish jumpstart. As it became obvious that the war was going to last for sometime as talks and mediatory efforts broke down, traders settled in for a long ride upwards. This article is sponsored by OptionBit which is our recommended broker for trading oil with binary options. It is true that this is a binary options trading blog, but the truth is that the principles we shall talk about cover all assets traded in the binary options market. As such, they are in a position where they are leaving a lot of money on the table. For those who missed the play on scenario 1, the next play would be to wait for the retracement that would surely occur as traders took profits. The other binary trade types would be too risky to trade in this situation so we leave them out. Prices were rising as no one knew how long the war would last.


Any shift in the dynamics of the war would immediately cause a shift in the behaviour of the underlying asset. So we will select an instrument that is traded on the binary options platforms of many brokers to illustrate a typical trade method, and that asset is crude oil. Many traders are familiar with trading currencies, but very few trade crude oil. It tells the trader that any other retracements would probably test that support level as well. Touch trade, setting the 39. Of the two green circles, the second one is the most significant. This is supported by the fact that the same technical analysis principles used in forex analysis are virtually the same principles used in technical analysis of any other instrument. Plotting the Fibonacci retracement tool from the swing low to swing high, we see this at the 39. This is because the first indicates the point of maximum retracement, which forms a key support. This kind of trade is a dicey one, because the fundamentals that were pushing crude prices were ones that could not be predicted.


Combining the news and the double bottom formation, a discerning trader would know that the only way crude oil was going was northwards. We used this for crude. In this sort of scenario, it is extremely important to pay attention not just to the fundamentals, but to the technicals as well. This was a war situation. Let us examin a binary options trading method that will employ the use of the Fibonacci retracement tool, this time not as a strict retracement tool but as a tool that can be used for range trading. This was what was playing out here.


You may have heard the saying: trigger fundamentally, enter technically. But this is where the technicals came to play. Hope this short method lesson is well understood. As well as futures contracts, we offer a wide range of options on futures. Rulebook for further details. Customers should speak with their clearing firms for the results.


Trading activity in our range of oil options contracts has increased in recent years as users adopt options strategies to hedge their price risk. Use the interactive map below to explore our global range of oil options. ARB options for crude and refined products. ICE Clear Europe also sends out notifications over the Clearing systems that the contract has expired and the results are available, along with the reference prices. WTI: Same as the CME. ICE will endeavour to publicize assignments within15 minutes after the declaration window is closed. We suggest asking your clearer if they have an earlier cut off than these times to allow them to accommodate all their customer instructions.


Expiry reports are made available on our reporting website for members with positions. The only way it can lose is if the market stays flat, in between the entries of each spread. The amount put up to enter the trade is merely the margin. This is where another contract is obtained in the opposite direction as the first. Earlier in the week, an opportunity presented itself when volatility was low in Crude Oil. Then, price was trailed for the other five contracts, until oil hit the trailing stop, in this case the MVP indicator. The market had slowed down.


The max risk is taken care of and then profit would kick in. Emotions are tested with questions such as, where the stop should be placed, when and where should it be moved, and when should profits be taken. In this case, that would be between 46. Nadex spread trade with a Nadex spread. For free day trading education, strategies and access to the spread scanner, visit www. Try this method out in demo. It may seem like it would just add more to the total risk of the trade, but in fact the opposite is true. Understand it and then move on to doing it live.


Successful traders learn the most important thing is to live to come back another day for trading. Nadex spread covering 46. The bought spread price for 46. However, if the market moves long against the primary trade, with this method there is still an opportunity to profit. The odds are definitely in favor of the trader. To manage risk effectively, a hedge was added. Good traders know like any athlete, that it is important to have a play in your trading playbook ready for whatever action the market will make. Traders may actually be bored with this kind of trade.


Now look for a spread in the opposite direction of the one just entered, with the closest price to it, the lowest risk, and some time left in it. Looking back at previous price action, the point where break out traders would go short and where those traders who were painfully losing would bail out selling their long positions was spotted. As soon as the trade was made, the place was pinpointed where to put the first take profit. This point just happened to be at the low of the day. The only requirement is movement in the market. Actually, a method can eliminate that struggle. Because of the hedge, the trade can be profitable whether the market goes up or down.


The primary trade was made selling the Nadex spread covering 42. Traders know that there are many different market conditions. After an upward move, chart indicators and price showed the market was primed for a move downward. The drawback is that the market has to move. The max risk is locked in when entering the trade. This trade only risked four dollars per contract with the possibility to profit either direction the market moved! In summary, know that this type of trade is not hard. To do that, mastering risk management is essential to maintain trade capital.


When oil hit 45. This method requires zero stop loss of money. The market could go all the way to the ceiling 47. How did this trade turn out? Putting on a hedge is like having insurance. Once hit, the remaining contracts collected a few hundred dollars more. The real risk is the difference between the prices of the bought spread and the sold spread. This may resemble a strangle, but since the primary direction was short, the long side of the method becomes the hedge. The risk is the difference between the two entries.


How can traders not afford to trade spreads? Giving it time for the trade to play out. There can be trending markets, flat markets, high volatility or times when the implied volatility is low. After both Brent and WTI this week fell the most in more than a year, traders again sought to profit from market gyrations. Thursday, other bullish bets declined. Jesper Dannesboe, senior commodity strategist at Societe Generale SA in London. Global Risk Management Ltd. June and July saw open interest slip in spite of bumper trading.


Thursday, with five profiting from higher prices and five from lower prices. In late November, investors rushed to make bets that prices would rise as OPEC hammered out its deal to cut production. OPEC meeting in Vienna on May 25, according to Nick Williams, a commodity futures broker at GF Financial Markets Ltd. Brent crude on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London and WTI on CME Group Inc. In the long run, either OPEC will cut or demand will pick up a bit of this extra supply. Thursday, according to exchange data compiled by Bloomberg. Nymex exchange in New York. The trading, which allows investors to protect themselves or profit from price swings, takes place as the market emerges from its least volatile period in years.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.